– Global equities rallied, led by US stocks. Commodities declined.
– Broad rally among styles, factors, and sectors. Momentum and Growth were the biggest winners.
– Two out of every three countries we follow advanced, but emerging markets lagged on declines in Chinese equities.
– The US Dollar and prices on US Treasuries finished the week higher on a dovish sounding Fed.
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World Wrap
– Commodities rallied, while Global stocks and bonds declined.
– In a down week, 5 of 11 sectors managed to advance, led by a 3.8% advance in Energy stocks.
– Emerging markets were flat, buoyed by a 3.3% move higher in China.
– Both Crude oil and 2Yr Treasury yields climbed to higher highs last week, in a clear sign that inflation concerns are coming to the forefront again.
World Wrap
– US Equities and Commodities declined, while International stocks and US Treasuries rallied.
– Mid-cap stocks outperformed as did interest rate sensitive sectors. Utilities performed better than all sectors, styles, and factors.
– Fairly broad rally internationally, with nearly 3 of 4 countries participating. China was an exception, declining more than US stocks.
– Both Gold and Bitcoin made new all-time highs in the same week.
World Wrap
– All major asset classes saw higher prices, but commodities were the biggest winner.
– Classic risk-on week when it came to sectors – with Healthcare, Staples, and Utlities declining while all other sectors advanced.
– Developed markets kept international equity indices in the green, as more than 60% of countries declined during the week.
– A barrel of Crude Oil crossed back above $80 for the first time since November. Oil prices are up more than 12% ytd.
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Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%