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World Wrap

World Wrap

– Commodities and US Equities led the way this week, as global financial assets rallied in unison for a second straight week.
– The rising tide lifted all boats in the last week of July – the stock market rally among styles, sectors and factors was broad.
– China was a notable exception to the global rally in equities, closing down 3.7% for the week.
– Another round of rate hikes for the Fed in September has the potential to take the Fed Funds rate above the 10Yr Treasury yield.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– All major asset classes rallied. International equities were the best performing broad asset class.
– Growth stocks outperformed value. Consumer Discretion sector climbed 6.8% on strength in AMZN and TSLA shares.
– Strong performance from European equities helped international equities outperform.
– After a 16.7% gain the previous week, Natural gas climbed another 18.4% this week. Natural gas prices are up 135% ytd.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– A quintessential example of a risk-off week. US Treasuries rallied while other risk assets sold off. Commodities were down 3.9%.
– Value held up better than growth. Consumer Staples closed up for the week – the only sector to do so.
– After solid performance for much of the last quarter, China was the second worst performing country last week (-7.9%) and was a drag on emerging markets.
– Natural gas prices rose 16.7% and have nearly doubled in 2022.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Global equities climbed. Commodities, Treasuries, and interest rate sensitive assets like Real Estate declined.
– It was a strong weak for Large Cap growth & Tech stocks. Meanwhile – Value, Energy, & High yield stocks struggled.
– International equities advanced, but it wasn’t a broad move. Twenty-one of the 45 countries we track declined week over week.
– The US Dollar jumped 1.8% and is now up 11.5% year to date.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%