– US Equities led all major asset classes higher for the week.
– Communication Services was the only sector to decline for the week. All other sectors, styles and factors advanced.
– Intl developed market equities outperformed US equites on strength in Europe. Emerging markets declined on a 9% drop in China.
– The dollar sold off for the second week in a row. Economically sensitive commodities copper and lumber declined.
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Market Outlook – Mid-Term November Bear Market Rally
World Wrap
– US Equities rallied strongly, while international equity gains were more muted. US Treasury yields went higher.
– US Equity gains were broad across every style, factor, and sector. Energy stocks were up 8.1% and are approaching June highs.
– Developed equities were up on strength in European stocks. Meanwhile Emerging markets were flat on a 2.7% decline in China.
– The dollar sold off, but so did US Treasuries. Yields on 30Yr Treasuries set a new 10 year high.
Market Outlook – Dashing hopes for a Soft Landing
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Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%