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World Wrap

World Wrap

– US stocks slid on AI/valuation jitters despite cooler CPI – Treasuries and REITs caught a bid as yields fell, while oil sagged on supply talk.
– Value and defensives led – utilities and real estate ripped higher as investors hid from mega-cap tech and financials, where the drawdown was sharpest.
– Outside the US, Europe ground sideways but banks sank – Japan rode post-election volatility, while China stayed policy-supported and EM kept a bid.
– Rates rallied on softer inflation – credit was steadier, the dollar eased vs yen/euro, gold stayed supported, and oil logged another weekly drop.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– US stocks chopped sideways as big-tech sagged, but a Friday rebound pushed blue chips to a record – REITs held up while broad commodities slid on weaker oil.
– Value and smaller caps led – staples, industrials, energy up while discretionary and comms lagged as tech and AI sentiment whipsawed.
– Developed markets edged higher – Japan stood out – while emerging markets fell as China and Korea dragged, offsetting strength in Mexico and India.
– Bonds were steady with Treasuries and credit modestly firmer – bank loans and preferreds lagged – gold jumped as the dollar strengthened and oil retreated.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%

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