– US Equities rebounded on a narrow rally. Commodity prices also moved higher.
– Tech and Consumer Discretion stocks drove broad indices higher. Average sector performance beyond those two was 0.0% for the week.
– A rally in Latin American stocks pushed emerging market indices higher. Developed markets declined slightly.
– Precious metals and the US dollar rallied. US Dollar rally stopped just short of making its first higher high of 2023.
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Market Outlook – Only Speculators can be bagholders
World Wrap
– No asset class was spared last week – with every key asset class registering declines.
– All sectors, styles, and factors went lower. Tech stocks fared the best.
– International equity declines were broad with equity markets declining in 42 of 44 countries.
– Sell-off in Treasuries pushed yields on the 30Y Treasury to 12-year highs. Mortgage rates climbed to 20-year highs.
Market Outlook – Correction starting to influence Psychology
%
Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%