– Strong bounce in Global Equities and US Treasuries as commodities sold off.
– Energy closed the week in the red. All other sectors, styles, and factors advanced.
– Despite strong performance from China, the emerging markets rally was weak, lagging developed markets.
– Broad commodity indices were weak, but oil prices only declined by 0.3%.
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Market Outlook – Psychology Composite reaches best quintile of readings
World Wrap
– Nowhere to hide as every major asset class declined. This week marked the broadest and most pervasive selling pressure in 2022.
– All sectors and styles lost money. Energy was particularly hard hit, giving up 17% for the week.
– Equities fell in all 44 of the countries that we follow.
– Lumber and the US Dollar both climbed 0.5%. Those were literally the only two assets with prices that had positive 1wk returns in World Wrap.
Market Outlook – You are not a Bum. Ignore bad pitches.
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Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%