Archive

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Global stocks rallied and commodities faltered on falling oil prices.
– It has been a textbook risk-on rally as the “safest” sectors – Healthcare, Utilities, and Staples are the only three sectors with negative ytd returns.
– Emerging markets are up 10% year to date as China continues to outperform. China is up 17% ytd.
– US Dollar has fallen 10% from its 2022 high, entering its first correction since 2021.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– 2023 is off to a strong start for global equities and bonds with all major asset classes except commodities moving higher in the first two weeks of January.
– Healthcare and Consumer Staples were the only two sectors that did not participate in the market’s advance.
– International equities are outperforming US Equities with both developed and emerging markets outperforming.
– Bitcoin rallied 17% last week and is up 19.5% since the start of the year.

%

Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%