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World Wrap

World Wrap

– U.S. stocks gained 0.1%, while international stocks and REITs slipped as strong payrolls lifted yields. Oil’s 9.8% jump led commodities.
– Energy rose 2.3% and tech gained 1.1%, while consumer discretionary fell 2.0% as strong jobs revived rate-hike concerns.
– Latin America gained 4.3% on oil strength, while the Middle East fell 1.7% and Europe lost 0.8% amid Iran tension and higher yields.
– Long Treasuries, munis and gold fell as strong jobs pushed yields higher. Oil surged 9.8% while the dollar slipped 0.5%.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– U.S. stocks and Treasuries gained, while REITs and commodities fell as Nvidia’s outlook and cheaper oil offset a hawkish Jackson Hole message.
– Technology led a narrow rally after Nvidia’s blockbuster outlook, while energy and healthcare fell 2% and most factors and sectors lost ground.
– Vietnam surged 5.3% on a larger FTSE weight, while Taiwan gained 3.0% on AI optimism. Oil-sensitive Colombia tumbled 6.4%.
– Bitcoin jumped 9.9%, while oil, gold and silver sank. Long Treasuries rallied, but a 0.8% dollar gain punished unhedged foreign bonds.

99.8
Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
Psychology 94.1%
Monetary 89.0%
Valuation 99.9%
Trend 79.0%

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