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World Wrap
– US Equities and Commodities declined, while International stocks and US Treasuries rallied.
– Mid-cap stocks outperformed as did interest rate sensitive sectors. Utilities performed better than all sectors, styles, and factors.
– Fairly broad rally internationally, with nearly 3 of 4 countries participating. China was an exception, declining more than US stocks.
– Both Gold and Bitcoin made new all-time highs in the same week.
Market Outlook – Third longest yield curve inversion since 1920.
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World Wrap
– All major asset classes saw higher prices, but commodities were the biggest winner.
– Classic risk-on week when it came to sectors – with Healthcare, Staples, and Utlities declining while all other sectors advanced.
– Developed markets kept international equity indices in the green, as more than 60% of countries declined during the week.
– A barrel of Crude Oil crossed back above $80 for the first time since November. Oil prices are up more than 12% ytd.
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Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%