Archive
World Wrap
– Global financial assets rebounded sharply during the first week of November. Commodities sold off on lower oil prices.
– A sea of green – every style, factor and sector climbed. Small cap value was the biggest winner, rallying almost 9%.
– Internationally, 43 of 44 countries that we monitor advanced. Mexico is having a good year – up 9.3% last week and up more than 21% year-to-date.
– Yields fell globally after Powell’s press conference and a weaker than expected jobs report as markets again bet that the Fed is done.
Market Outlook – We’re all contrarians now.
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Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%