Archive

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Another down week for global equities and fixed income and an up week for Commodities.
– Sharp bounce from Energy stocks. In three short weeks, Energy has gone from being the worst-performing sector YTD to the middle of the pack.
– China continues to struggle – down 3.7% – continuing to weigh on Emerging market indices.
– The US Dollar was up sharply. The dollar bottomed when the NASDAQ peaked in July and has climbed in lockstep with the weakness of Tech stocks ever since.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Global equities closed the week more than 2% lower. Higher oil prices drove Commodity indices higher.
– Energy was the only advancing sector. Tech stocks and Utilities were off by more than 4% for the week.
– Stock market decline was broad globally, dragging down 38 of 44 countries.
– Fitch downgrade of US Credit rating sent Treasury yields to their highest levels of 2023 and within 10 basis points of the Oct 2022 peak.

%

Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%