– US Equities and Commodities declined while International Equities and US Treasuries were flat for the week.
– All key factors, styles and sectors declined. Energy stocks were hit hardest – declining more than 8%.
– Emerging market equities squeaked out a gain, boosted by a 6.8% one week return from China.
– Crude oil prices corrected, finishing the week 11.1% lower.
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Market Outlook – Psychology Composite signals Enthusiasm
World Wrap
– Global financial assets, both fixed income and equities, rallied. Commodities moved higher as well.
– Value stocks struggled on weakness in Energy stocks and Financials.
– Sharp rebound in Emerging market stocks as China rallied almost 9% in a week.
– Lumber prices are down 52% ytd and have fallen to pre-Covid levels – signs of a softening housing market.
Market Outlook – A Not-So-Healthy Stock Market Rally
%
Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%