Archive

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Global stocks rallied, led by a strong snap back for US equities, but the fear of missing out was absent from international equities.
– Growth and Tech stocks outperformed while Energy stocks lagged considerably for the week.
– Developed markets closed in the green, but emerging equities were down slightly.
– The dollar gave up some gains, and fixed income markets declined with the notable exception of a rally in high yield corporate bonds.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– All major asset classes declined for the week. Commodities were hit hardest on a 6.6% decline in oil.
– No safe havens as every style, sector, and factor struggled.
– International declines were broad with only 5 of 44 countries moving higher. Germany was one of the five.
– Another strong week for the US Dollar as it rallied to a new 20 year high. The Euro closed below parity with the dollar again, falling to a new 15yr low.

%

Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%