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World Wrap

World Wrap

– US equities fell for the second straight week – the first back to back weekly declines since May. Treasuries rallied as did International equities.
– It was a difficult week for both the best and worst sectors, as both Tech and Energy stocks fell by more than 4%. Materials was the only sector to climb.
– International equities bucked the trend with US stocks and moved higher, almost solely on the back of European equities.-
– After persistent declines for months, the dollar has started climbing for a few weeks. It’s boosting the price of US Treasuries, and oil is falling.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Treasuries became a safe-haven again as volatility picked up and risk assets declined.
– Growth, momentum, and Tech were hit hardest last week. Interest rate sensitive sectors held up better while Treasuries rallied.
– Bitcoin was off nearly 11%. Lumber’s decline was modest given how large the ytd gains are.
– Copper prices managed to climb modestly as most other commodities were selling off.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%