Market Outlook

Short term trend for international equities turns up, while currency hedged trend turns down.Psychology is deteriorating rapidly.The 1998 analog is still in play.The limitations of market breadth.This week's best charts... Click the image to...

World Wrap

Risk assets sold off last week, except Real Estate, which pulled further ahead. Border security funding talks collapse with govt funding set to run out Sat morning.Eps expectations continue to fall. Q1 earnings set to be the first yr over yr decline in...


Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%