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World Wrap

World Wrap

– Global markets stayed defensive – equities fell, Treasuries and REITs sagged, while commodities held up as oil’s shock drowned out ceasefire hopes.
– Energy and other value pockets held up best, while tech and consumer names kept growth under pressure as pricier oil hit rate-cut hopes.
– Intl markets split – Canada held up on resource strength, Europe eked out gains, while oil-sensitive importers like India stayed pressured and Korea whipsawed.
– Treasuries, credit and overseas bonds weakened as yields rose, the dollar firmed and oil led commodities – gold slipped despite the risk-off tone.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– Equities slid while commodities surged – oil shock from Iran hit Treasuries and REITs, and inflation fears favored harder-asset exposure.
– Energy led and small caps lagged – banks, industrials and discretionary sank as pricier oil, slower growth fears and credit jitters hit cyclicals.
– India was hit hardest, while exporters and energy-linked markets held up better – higher oil punished importers and stirred rate fears across Asia and Europe.
– Oil and the dollar jumped while gold, metals and most bonds fell – inflation repricing hurt high yield and rate-sensitive debt as yields climbed.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%

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