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World Wrap
– US stocks rose 1% and international shares gained 2%, while REITs and Treasuries fell as AI earnings beat rising yields and commodities slid.
– Consumer discretionary soared 8% on Amazon, while high dividend led factors and momentum and transports buckled in a sharp rotation.
– Emerging and developed markets rose about 2%. Colombia jumped 9%, while Korea’s historic chip rebound capped a whipsaw week.
– Long Treasuries fell as the 30-year yield hit a 19-year high. International bonds rallied with a weaker dollar, while oil and gas slid.
Market Outlook – Retail Sees a Squirrel
%
Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%