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World Wrap

World Wrap

– US stocks lagged foreign markets. Energy and REITs gained, while a sharp selloff in technology weighed on broader markets.
– Defensives led. Health care, energy and low volatility gained, while growth, momentum, technology and consumer discretionary fell.
– Developed markets beat EM. Korea pulled back after its AI-fueled surge, while Indonesia and Peru lagged and Colombia gained.
– Bonds fell as yields rose after strong jobs data. Oil climbed, precious metals dropped and the dollar strengthened.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– US and foreign stocks rose as AI optimism and Middle East peace hopes lifted risk assets. REITs lagged, while oil hit broad commodities.
– Growth and technology led again as AI spending mania spread. Defensives and energy lagged as oil slid and the rally narrowed.
– Korea, Peru and Taiwan led abroad as risk appetite broadened. China, Hong Kong and Turkey were notable exceptions to the rally.
– Treasuries firmed as yields fell. Oil’s plunge dragged commodities lower, gold bounced late, and the dollar was little changed.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%

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