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World Wrap

World Wrap

– REITs and Treasuries gained as easing Middle East tensions and lower yields offset weakness in stocks and commodities.
– Technology and large growth sold off as semiconductor enthusiasm cooled, while healthcare, REITs and small caps rallied.
– Asia led global declines as Korea, Taiwan and China fell on chip-sector weakness, while Germany proved resilient.
– Long Treasuries led bond gains as yields fell. Oil plunged on fading geopolitical fears while the dollar strengthened.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– US and foreign stocks rose while commodities sank as crude plunged, helping REITs rebound and offsetting a hawkish Fed backdrop.
– Growth and momentum led, but leadership broadened as materials, financials and industrials joined the rally.
– Korea surged nearly 20% and Taiwan rallied as AI enthusiasm lifted Asia, while commodity exporters like Norway lagged.
– Oil plunged while gold, silver and the dollar all gained as global bonds lagged U.S. fixed income sectors.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%

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