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World Wrap

World Wrap

– US and global equities rallied on Fed rate cut optimism; treasuries were modestly higher and commodities climbed, with oil weaker and gold firmer.
– US growth and tech sectors led as core inflation steadied; cyclicals lagged, with real estate facing pressure from cautious longe term rate outlook and bond yields.
– International equities outperformed on upbeat earnings and ECB confidence, with Japan and Europe gaining on policy clarity and Asian stimulus hopes.
– US Treasuries and global bonds oscillated after strong auctions. Precious and industrial metals posted gains, while agricultural commodities ended the week lower.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– US Treasuries outperformed as slowing payroll growth and rising Fed rate cut odds offset mixed equity moves; commodities slipped despite early gains.
– Communication services surged led by mega-cap tech gains, while energy lagged; mixed jobs data and rate cut expectations drove divergence across style boxes.
– Developed international equities trailed as the euro declined and policy uncertainty mounted, while Japanese markets showed relative strength on earnings.
– US Treasuries rallied as yields fell on softer payroll and higher rate cut odds; commodities finished lower and the US dollar held steady in tight ranges.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%

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