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World Wrap

World Wrap

– US equities were flat to modestly down, international equities underperformed, treasuries gave back gains, REITs held up, and commodities (led by gold) saw small upside.
– Within US factors/sectors, defensives and energy outpaced growth and tech amid mixed data and shifting rate expectations.
– EM and international markets broadly lagged, with China and select frontier markets under more pressure while parts of Europe held up.
– US/intl bonds were slightly weaker, gold gained, oil was muted, and the dollar bounced as strong macro data weighed on cut odds.

World Wrap

World Wrap

– US equities led gains as the Fed cut rates, intl equities were flat to slightly down, Treasuries weakened, REITs underperformed, commodities mixed.
– Growth-and tech-oriented sectors outperformed amid rate cut optimism, while defensive sectors like staples/utilities lagged; small caps also gained.
– Emerging markets edged out developed non-US markets; Asia/EM posted modest gains while Europe was weighed down by mixed central bank signals.
– US fixed income fell after rate cut stoked inflation concerns, the dollar strengthened, gold rose, other commodities were mostly flat.

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Market Risk Index

Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.

Model Category Readings (Percentiles)

  • Psychology 99.7% 99.7%
  • Monetary 87.2% 87.2%
  • Valuation 99.3% 99.3%
  • Market Trend 9.8% 9.8%

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