Archive
World Wrap
– Mixed week for global financial assets. U.S. equities and Treasuries fell, while international equities and commodities rallied.
– Broad decline across all styles, sectors, and factors. Small-cap stocks were among the worst performers.
– Developed markets outperformed, while emerging markets were flat – held back by underperformance in India, Taiwan, and Brazil.
– US fiscal worries and a weak 20-yr auction sent 30-yr yields above 5% – first time since 2023, and before that, not seen since 2007.
Market Outlook – Let’s Light This Candle
World Wrap
– Global equities posted strong gains for the week, led by U.S. stocks. U.S. Treasury prices fell, with yields climbing.
– A broad-based rally took hold across styles, sectors, and factors, echoing a familiar pattern—large caps and Tech out front.
– Emerging markets outperformed internationally, boosted by strong results from India and Taiwan.
– U.S. Treasuries showed signs of strain amid concerns over a deficit-expanding budget, with the 30-year yield nearing 5%.
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Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%