– Global equities and commodities climbed, but US Treasuries were flat. Intl stocks underperformed.
– Broad advance among sectors, styles, and factors. Small and Midcap stocks outperformed.
– Mixed week internationally, with 25 countries advancing and 20 declining. 25 countries are now in corrections or bear markets.
– Commodities rebounded, and Bitcoin is flirting with $100k. The US Dollar hit a two-year high.
Archive
Market Outlook – The Week of the $6 Million Banana.
World Wrap
– All key asset classes declined last week as poor inflation data and a more hawkish tone from the Fed weighed on markets.
– Energy, Financials, and Utilities were the only advancing sectors. Value stocks climbed as well.
– International equities are on the cusp of correction territory with another poor post-election performance week on tariff concerns.
– Weakness in Treasuries continued, and the US Dollar climbed to a one-year high.
Market Outlook – The bull market’s monetary support is weakening.
%
Market Risk Index
Market Risk Index scales from 0 to 100%. Higher readings correspond with higher risk markets. Scores below 25% are bullish. Scores between 25-75% are neutral, and scores above 75% are markets vulnerable to major drawdowns.
Model Category Readings (Percentiles)
- Psychology 99.7%
- Monetary 87.2%
- Valuation 99.3%
- Market Trend 9.8%